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The Boise State Broncos are gearing up for a pivotal clash against the Air Force Falcons on Tuesday, March 4, at 7:00 PM at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs. With March Madness just around the corner, Boise State looks to solidify its NCAA Tournament resume with a road test against a struggling Air Force squad.
Boise State vs Air Force Basketball Preview: The Stakes
Boise State (21-8, 13-5 MW) enters the game riding a wave of momentum, fresh off a trio of wins against Fresno State, Utah State, and Nevada. With the Mountain West tournament looming, every victory strengthens their position for an at-large NCAA Tournament bid. On the other side, Air Force (4-25, 1-17 MW) has endured a grueling season but will aim to play spoiler at home, seeking a morale-boosting upset.
Key Matchups: Degenhart vs. Taylor – The Duel of Playmakers
Tyson Degenhart (Boise State) – The junior forward has been a dominant force, averaging 18.1 PPG and 6.1 RPG, leading the Broncos in scoring and rebounding. His versatility will be crucial in breaking down Air Force’s defense.
Ethan Taylor (Air Force) – The Falcons’ leader at 13.9 PPG, 5.5 RPG, and 3.5 APG will need to carry the offensive load and find ways to crack Boise State’s strong defensive schemes.
Alvaro Cardenas (Boise State) – The Broncos’ floor general is dishing out 6.9 APG, making him a catalyst for the team’s offense. His ability to control the tempo and find teammates will be a game-changer.
Team Stats Breakdown: Boise State’s Edge in Efficiency
Boise State Strengths:
Scoring: 76.0 PPG (119th in the nation)
Defense: Allowing just 66.1 PPG (33rd nationally)
Shooting: 46.9% FG (70th nationally)
Free Throws: 77.4% FT (28th nationally)
Turnovers: 11.4 per game (137th nationally)
Rebounding: 38.9 RPG (159th nationally)
Air Force Challenges:
Scoring Woes: 62.7 PPG (359th in the nation)
Defensive Struggles: Allowing 73.2 PPG (216th nationally)
Shooting Woes: 42.5% FG (303rd nationally)
Turnovers: 13.6 per game (321st nationally)
Rebounding: 33 RPG (353rd nationally)
With Boise State ranking far higher in offensive and defensive metrics, they will look to impose their will early against an Air Force squad that has struggled at both ends of the floor.
X-Factor: Fast Start and Defensive Intensity
For Boise State, setting the tone early will be crucial. The Broncos have thrived when controlling the tempo, limiting turnovers, and executing efficiently on both ends. If they can force Air Force into difficult shots and capitalize on transition opportunities, they should dictate the flow of the game.
Meanwhile, Air Force will rely on their home-court energy and a patient offensive approach to stay within striking distance. They thrive on slowing the game down—if they can control the tempo, limit turnovers, and force Boise State into contested shots, an upset could be within reach.
Prediction: Broncos Take Control Late
With all signs pointing in Boise State’s favor, expect them to impose their will as the game progresses. Air Force will fight hard, but the Broncos' superior firepower, depth, and defensive discipline should allow them to pull away in the second half.
Final Prediction: Boise State 78, Air Force 60
Can the Broncos continue their march toward Mountain West supremacy? Tune in on Tuesday at 7:00 PM to find out!
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